- The Observer,
- Sunday June 3 2001
1997 2001 Now
Labour 47% 48% 46%
Conservative 32 32 34
Lib Dem 16 15 15
Other 5 5 5
(1997 figures refer to 23-25 poll in final week, 2001 to the 10-11 May ICM/Observer poll as the campaign began, Now to the new ICM/Observer poll with fieldwork on Thursday 31st May-Friday 1st June)
Voting intention by social class
Lab Cons LibDem Other
AB 33 43 19 4 Lab lead -10
C1 40 35 14 12 +5
C2 57 31 10 2 +24
DE 56 25 16 4 +31
Voting intention by gender
Lab Con LibDem Other
Male 46 34 14 5 Lab lead +22
Female 46 33 16 4 Lab lead +23
Voting intention by age
Lab Con LibDem Other
18-34 48 37 12 4 Lab lead +9
35-54 45 32 16 6 Lab lead +13
55+ 46 33 16 5 Lab lead +13
(2) Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister?
Now:
Blair 57% Hague 18% Don't know 25%
Labour voters: Blair 95, Hague 1, Don't know 4
Tory voters: Blair 21, Hague 58, Don't know 21
LibDem voters: Blair 67, Hague 10, Don't know 23
May 2001: Blair 54% Hague 18% Don't know 28%
1997: Blair 50% Major 33% D K 17%
(3) Do you think you and your family would be better off under Labour, or better off under the Conservatives or would it make no difference?
Labour 33
Conservatives 16
No Difference 45
Don't know 5
May 2001: Labour 30, Cons 15, No difference 50, DK 5
1997: Labour 21, Cons 22, No difference 42, DK 4
(4) Who do you trust more to get the best deal for Britain from Europe, Tony Blair or William Hague?
Now:
Blair 50%
Hague 32%
Neither/Don't know 19%
1997: Blair 50% Major 33% Neither/Don't Know 18%
(5) Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
'Labour has become too right-wing in recent years'
Agree: 50%
Disagree: 39%
Neither: 11%
'The Conservatives have become too right-wing in recent years'
Agree: 47%
Disagree: 39%
Neither: 14%
'It won't make much difference to my daily life who wins the coming election'
Agree: 57%
Disagree: 39%
Neither: 4%
(6) Which party would you vote for in the General Election if you lived in a constituency where the only parties with a realistic chance of winning were Labour and the Conservatives?
Labour 57%
Conservative 40%
LibDem 2
Other 1
(7) Which party would you vote for in the General Election if you lived in a constituency where the only parties with a realistic chance of winning were the Liberal Democrats and the Conservatives?
Labour 7%
Conservatives 39%
LibDem 53%
Other 1%
(8) Would it be good or bad for Britain if the following things happened over the next few years?
Are they likely or unlikely to happen over the next few years?
Labour and the LibDems governing Britain together as a coalition
Good: 38
Bad: 30
No difference: 26
Don't know: 6
Likely: 17 Unlikely: 79 Don't know 4
Are they likely or unlikely to happen over the next few years?
The Conservatives splitting into two separate parties, one pro-European and the other anti-European
Good: 17
Bad: 31
No difference: 45
Don't know: 7
Likely: 26 Unlikely: 68 Don't know 6 The Liberal Democrats replacing the Conservatives as the main alternative to Labour Likely: 25 Unlikely: 71 Don't know 4 ICM interviewed 1,005 electors throughout Britain by telephone on Thursday and Friday
Good: 45
Bad: 23
No difference: 26
Don't know: 6
